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Qual 1042014 Silicon Valley Regional
Red200
97189.2
417117.1
66841.9
Blue157
84669.7
196731.7
166237.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions144136050100200250300200157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#1
89.22.9
88.5→91.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 19.5
846
#9
69.71.0
68.1→69.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
668
#15
41.92.9
39.7→42.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.7
1662
#29
37.21.0
38.3→39.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4171
#49
17.13.5
14.8→18.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 14.6
1967
#57
31.71.0
30.7→31.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—