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Red97
11520.5
425522.5
84128.2
Blue109
285417.6
107228.6
76624.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions586305010015097109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
841
#45
28.21.9
21.623.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
1072
#35
28.62.4
23.726.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4255
#41
22.53.0
17.220.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
766
#38
24.22.4
23.125.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
115
#53
20.51.9
19.921.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
2854
#51
17.63.7
15.018.6
Auto
Teleop
End