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Red156
499037.0
1678100.4
281321.0
Blue102
186827.9
196731.7
517132.3
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14984050100200250156102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
100.40.9
93.394.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 68.1
5171
#36
32.30.6
30.531.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4990
#12
37.01.3
27.228.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
1967
#57
31.70.4
30.831.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2813
#20
21.01.3
18.319.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.9
1868
#34
27.90.4
32.833.2
Auto
Teleop
End