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Red126
404713.1
128037.2
36883.5
Blue226
203557.4
85238.2
19261.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions134125050100150200250300126226

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
368
#16
83.50.4
85.184.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.4
192
#7
61.15.0
54.059.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
37.20.4
35.134.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.2
57.45.0
47.152.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4047
#33
13.10.5
12.912.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 25.0
852
#32
38.27.7
25.633.4
Auto
Teleop
End