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Red47
138830.5
454339.1
348227.5
Blue151
254111.8
417117.1
476525.3
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9215805020025030047151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4543
#19
39.12.8
36.733.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 72.7
254
#3
111.80.2
109.1109.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1388
#21
30.52.8
35.232.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.2
4765
#37
25.30.3
21.822.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3482
#23
27.52.8
30.227.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.4
4171
#49
17.10.3
16.516.8
Auto
Teleop
End