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Qual 902014 Silicon Valley Regional
Red148
69225.6
366935.8
490419.9
Blue117
502721.3
285417.6
203557.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61100050150200148117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3669
#40
35.84.0
32.4→36.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 21.6
2035
#4
57.41.1
52.9→54.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
692
#31
25.64.0
22.9→27.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.4
5027
#54
21.31.5
22.9→24.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4904
#47
19.95.4
11.9→17.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.2
2854
#51
17.61.5
18.4→20.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—