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Qual 912014 Silicon Valley Regional
Red185
499037.0
36883.5
510426.9
Blue133
170036.5
325637.2
248928.4
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15383050100200250300185133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
368
#16
83.52.2
84.3→86.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 46.3
3256
#28
37.21.9
33.6→35.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
4990
#12
37.02.9
32.2→35.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.6
1700
#26
36.51.9
33.9→35.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
5104
#50
26.92.2
25.3→27.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 1.4
2489
#17
28.41.9
26.6→28.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—