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Red70
501220.6
248586.2
420139.3
Blue140
207337.3
292839.6
131870.1
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18714605010025030035070140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2485
#13
86.25.5
99.393.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.1
1318
#23
70.10.6
72.171.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4201
#27
39.35.5
49.043.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
2928
#17
39.60.6
50.449.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5012
#31
20.65.5
32.326.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.7
37.30.6
29.829.2
Auto
Teleop
End