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Red124
198353.4
186822.7
454332.5
Blue111
167160.3
76626.6
97341.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109155050200250300350400124111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1983
#20
53.40.4
49.149.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.9
1671
#18
60.31.9
68.566.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
32.50.4
39.139.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.0
973
#26
41.51.9
50.748.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1868
#24
22.70.4
27.928.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.0
766
#32
26.61.9
29.227.4
Auto
Teleop
End