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Red102
84685.3
348221.2
213535.4
Blue171
97190.9
11447.7
420139.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1211750100200300400102171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
846
#2
85.31.4
83.482.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.6
971
#3
90.90.2
78.778.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2135
#21
35.41.4
19.918.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.3
114
#14
47.70.2
45.946.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3482
#19
21.21.4
26.325.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.1
4201
#27
39.30.2
42.542.7
Auto
Teleop
End