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Red147
501220.6
131870.1
186822.7
Blue167
19241.7
330956.6
84123.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103140050200250300350400147167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1318
#23
70.11.9
61.463.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.5
3309
#10
56.61.6
61.262.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1868
#24
22.71.9
21.923.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.0
192
#33
41.71.6
46.047.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5012
#31
20.61.9
25.527.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
841
#29
23.21.6
27.128.7
Auto
Teleop
End