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Qual 782014 Colorado Regional
Red172
198759.8
136128.2
372924.0
Blue33
124532.5
227521.0
340313.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1026605015020017233

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1987
#2
59.83.8
59.4→63.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 27.3
1245
#10
32.52.8
29.8→27.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1361
#21
28.25.5
14.9→20.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 7.2
2275
#44
21.02.8
21.8→19.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3729
#43
24.05.5
21.8→27.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 10.8
3403
#49
13.22.8
19.8→17.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—