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Red95
297238.7
531830.2
208322.9
Blue16
406820.7
225917.0
380711.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions934301502009516

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.70.5
35.536.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.0
4068
#39
20.72.3
16.914.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5318
#25
30.20.7
31.932.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.2
2259
#40
17.02.3
22.820.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2083
#24
22.90.7
17.618.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.8
3807
#51
11.12.3
11.18.8
Auto
Teleop
End