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Red136
371910.3
216839.8
23753.5
Blue146
169934.8
7837.3
23650.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6491050150200250136146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
237
#8
53.55.6
27.533.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
236
#5
50.54.9
34.239.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
39.85.6
25.130.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
78
#3
37.34.9
30.635.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3719
#26
10.35.6
15.821.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 24.6
1699
#23
34.84.9
22.026.9
Auto
Teleop
End