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Red17
371910.3
5714.1
365432.2
Blue68
199126.8
363417.9
511220.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions585802040801001201768

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3654
#18
32.22.7
30.928.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
1991
#10
26.80.6
25.726.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3719
#26
10.32.7
14.611.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.3
5112
#17
20.60.6
17.217.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
571
#32
4.12.7
11.38.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.8
3634
#30
17.90.6
16.517.1
Auto
Teleop
End