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Red95
455717.4
23650.5
514225.2
Blue255
55841.9
23753.5
206756.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7713105010015020025095255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
236
#5
50.50.6
47.247.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.3
56.88.8
49.057.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5142
#22
25.20.6
26.527.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 28.3
237
#8
53.58.8
40.549.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4557
#20
17.40.6
11.912.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 24.5
558
#12
41.98.8
33.242.0
Auto
Teleop
End