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Red176
512930.6
17774.2
55864.8
Blue139
23063.0
405552.8
112430.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions170144050100200250300350176139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
#2
74.20.2
73.073.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.1
230
#11
63.00.1
63.763.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
558
#1
64.80.2
63.663.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.0
52.80.1
53.453.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5129
#17
30.60.2
29.529.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
1124
#15
30.00.1
30.630.5
Auto
Teleop
End