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Quarterfinal 4-22014 Hartford District Event
Red230
405552.8
23063.0
112430.0
Blue125
352551.0
363428.7
18151.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14112950100200250230125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#11
63.01.5
60.7→62.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 12.0
181
#19
51.10.1
51.2→51.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
4055
#4
52.81.5
50.5→52.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.8
3525
#10
51.00.1
51.1→51.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1124
#15
30.01.5
27.6→29.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.2
3634
#9
28.70.1
28.8→28.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—