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Red191
112430.0
405552.8
23063.0
Blue151
352551.0
363428.7
18151.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions137129050100200250300191151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#11
63.00.9
59.860.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.0
181
#19
51.10.3
50.851.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
52.80.9
49.550.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
3525
#10
51.00.3
50.851.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1124
#15
30.00.9
26.727.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
28.70.3
28.528.8
Auto
Teleop
End