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Red225
199143.3
356634.5
23660.8
Blue116
217028.3
71652.2
22853.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13513480100120160180200220225116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
236
#6
60.81.5
59.460.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.5
228
#18
53.30.3
53.653.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
43.31.5
41.943.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.9
716
#7
52.20.3
52.552.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3566
#27
34.51.5
33.134.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.2
2170
#35
28.30.3
28.628.3
Auto
Teleop
End