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Red195
17577.7
17666.3
83925.6
Blue122
23063.0
405552.8
112430.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions176137050100200250300195122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175
#3
77.70.4
77.778.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.7
230
#11
63.00.4
62.261.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
176
#5
66.30.4
66.366.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.5
52.80.4
52.051.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
839
#32
25.60.4
25.626.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.3
1124
#15
30.00.4
29.128.8
Auto
Teleop
End