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Red200
17666.3
83925.6
17577.7
Blue129
17847.0
346435.5
9531.7
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18192050150200250300350200129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175
#3
77.70.5
76.977.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 30.8
178
#24
47.00.4
44.344.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
176
#5
66.30.5
65.566.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 30.8
3464
#12
35.50.4
32.933.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
839
#32
25.60.5
24.825.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.1
95
#23
31.70.4
29.129.5
Auto
Teleop
End