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Red170
17666.3
17577.7
83925.6
Blue179
17847.0
346435.5
9531.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18393050150200250300350170179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175
#3
77.70.0
77.477.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 30.8
178
#24
47.01.2
44.745.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
176
#5
66.30.0
66.066.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 30.8
3464
#12
35.51.2
33.334.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
839
#32
25.60.0
25.325.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.1
95
#23
31.71.2
29.530.7
Auto
Teleop
End