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Red106
314621.6
112430.0
310425.0
Blue118
363428.7
206755.2
457218.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6587050100150200250106118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1124
#15
30.01.9
15.217.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 25.2
2067
#20
55.21.7
58.460.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3104
#37
25.01.9
30.832.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.7
28.71.7
21.222.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3146
#33
21.61.9
22.224.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
4572
#26
18.71.7
4.36.0
Auto
Teleop
End