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Red106
352551.0
514225.6
278517.8
Blue96
174011.4
409731.3
22853.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions818505010015020010696

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3525
#10
51.01.2
39.440.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
228
#18
53.30.6
46.647.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5142
#21
25.61.2
25.726.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.7
4097
#31
31.30.6
27.127.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2785
#34
17.81.2
16.617.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.3
1740
#38
11.40.6
10.611.2
Auto
Teleop
End