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Red136
17847.0
18151.1
206755.2
Blue117
318225.9
346435.5
17774.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15696050200250300136117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2067
#20
55.20.5
60.159.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.0
177
#2
74.20.6
60.360.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
181
#19
51.10.5
44.544.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.6
3464
#12
35.50.6
20.721.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
178
#24
47.00.5
41.841.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.1
3182
#29
25.90.6
24.725.3
Auto
Teleop
End