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Red153
99927.7
83925.6
9531.7
Blue52
278517.8
17315.9
23063.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions669005015020015352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95
#23
31.74.2
30.634.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 31.3
230
#11
63.01.7
55.653.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
999
#13
27.74.2
15.619.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.0
2785
#34
17.81.7
17.916.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
839
#32
25.64.2
23.527.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.8
173
#39
15.91.7
12.811.1
Auto
Teleop
End