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Red255
17780.2
512930.9
55875.9
Blue105
169940.8
15542.7
206766.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions184153050100250300350255105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
Unranked
80.21.3
77.578.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.3
2067
Unranked
66.90.9
69.368.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
558
Unranked
75.91.3
73.274.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 33.1
155
Unranked
42.70.9
45.144.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5129
Unranked
30.91.3
28.329.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.8
1699
Unranked
40.80.9
43.242.3
Auto
Teleop
End