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Red102
107131.9
352560.8
22854.5
Blue155
206766.9
15542.7
169940.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions149153050100200250300102155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3525
Unranked
60.80.8
61.560.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.1
2067
Unranked
66.90.0
67.467.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
228
Unranked
54.50.8
55.354.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.7
155
Unranked
42.70.0
43.343.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1071
Unranked
31.90.8
32.731.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.8
1699
Unranked
40.80.0
41.341.4
Auto
Teleop
End