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Red70
355519.6
346427.1
512930.9
Blue91
169940.8
371915.4
365427.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80792040601001201407091

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5129
Unranked
30.90.5
25.925.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.8
1699
Unranked
40.80.6
34.434.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3464
Unranked
27.10.5
34.534.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
3654
Unranked
27.40.6
24.925.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3555
Unranked
19.60.5
19.118.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
3719
Unranked
15.40.6
20.521.1
Auto
Teleop
End