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Qual 142014 CT State Championship
Red118
19591.6
15542.7
405544.4
Blue180
17780.2
352560.8
174010.3
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions211109050150250300350400118180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
Unranked
91.63.9
96.0→92.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 11.4
177
Unranked
80.22.8
64.8→67.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
4055
Unranked
44.43.9
49.4→45.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 16.4
3525
Unranked
60.82.8
52.8→55.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
155
Unranked
42.73.9
49.6→45.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 32.4
1740
Unranked
10.32.8
7.2→10.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—