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Qual 22014 CT State Championship
Red98
99933.7
512930.9
55875.9
Blue119
455728.3
17661.3
405544.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13713710011012013014098119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
558
Unranked
75.91.9
68.7→66.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 14.6
176
Unranked
61.30.9
52.0→51.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
999
Unranked
33.71.9
37.5→35.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 10.7
4055
Unranked
44.40.9
52.4→51.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
5129
Unranked
30.91.9
30.6→28.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.6
4557
Unranked
28.30.9
32.4→31.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—