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Red120
206766.9
352560.8
283616.9
Blue125
199137.7
169940.8
23654.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions156131050100200250300350120125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2067
Unranked
66.91.6
74.673.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.6
236
Unranked
54.30.5
55.555.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3525
Unranked
60.81.6
56.454.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.0
1699
Unranked
40.80.5
35.535.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2836
Unranked
16.91.6
20.719.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.7
1991
Unranked
37.70.5
43.543.0
Auto
Teleop
End