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Red157
352560.8
107131.9
318228.1
Blue60
206444.7
512930.9
17319.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1109405015020025015760

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3525
Unranked
60.82.5
53.856.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.0
2064
Unranked
44.71.8
50.048.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1071
Unranked
31.92.5
28.831.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
5129
Unranked
30.91.8
27.125.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3182
Unranked
28.12.5
25.227.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.8
173
Unranked
19.41.8
19.317.4
Auto
Teleop
End