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Qual 272014 CT State Championship
Red170
365427.4
55875.9
18149.4
Blue157
17549.2
217036.4
99933.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions145110050200250300170157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
558
Unranked
75.91.5
62.7→64.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 26.6
175
Unranked
49.22.1
51.9→53.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
181
Unranked
49.41.5
51.0→52.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 13.1
2170
Unranked
36.42.1
29.8→31.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3654
Unranked
27.41.5
26.2→27.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 6.3
999
Unranked
33.72.1
33.9→36.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—