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Red220
169940.8
17661.3
17780.2
Blue110
109938.0
23730.4
23654.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions164131050100200250300220110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
Unranked
80.23.1
70.573.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 25.9
236
Unranked
54.31.3
56.855.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
176
Unranked
61.33.1
52.755.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 23.3
1099
Unranked
38.01.3
42.541.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1699
Unranked
40.83.1
35.438.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.3
237
Unranked
30.41.3
36.735.4
Auto
Teleop
End