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Red186
99915.2
19587.4
55852.9
Blue197
405540.8
23058.2
283620.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions158108050200250300350400186197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#1
87.40.6
85.586.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 29.2
230
#18
58.21.4
56.958.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
558
#11
52.90.6
51.051.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.1
40.81.4
39.540.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
999
#29
15.20.6
13.313.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.5
2836
#19
20.71.4
19.420.8
Auto
Teleop
End