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Red176
99915.2
55852.9
19587.4
Blue147
23058.2
405540.8
283620.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions159113050200250300350400176147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#1
87.40.4
86.186.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 29.2
230
#18
58.20.5
58.258.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
558
#11
52.90.4
51.652.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.1
40.80.5
40.841.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
999
#29
15.20.4
13.914.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.5
2836
#19
20.70.5
20.821.2
Auto
Teleop
End