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Red206
99915.2
19587.4
55852.9
Blue92
283620.7
23058.2
405540.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16011405020025030035040020692

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#1
87.40.9
86.587.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 29.2
230
#18
58.20.5
58.758.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
558
#11
52.90.9
52.052.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.1
40.80.5
41.340.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
999
#29
15.20.9
14.315.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.5
2836
#19
20.70.5
21.220.7
Auto
Teleop
End