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Red68
17836.9
346626.4
176831.9
Blue135
109944.2
21347.3
352541.3
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8414605020025030035068135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
178
#7
36.90.4
36.636.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.3
213
#17
47.30.0
48.648.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1768
#13
31.90.4
31.531.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.3
44.20.0
45.645.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
26.40.4
26.125.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.8
3525
#10
41.30.0
42.642.6
Auto
Teleop
End