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Red151
206760.2
17561.6
363418.1
Blue167
283620.7
405540.8
23058.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15199050200250300151167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175
#2
61.60.1
62.662.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
230
#18
58.21.0
54.055.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
60.20.1
61.261.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.4
40.81.0
36.737.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3634
#27
18.10.1
19.119.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
2836
#19
20.71.0
16.617.6
Auto
Teleop
End