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Red168
176831.9
17836.9
346626.4
Blue118
21347.3
109944.2
352541.3
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83147050100200250300350168118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
178
#7
36.91.3
36.137.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.3
213
#17
47.30.3
48.648.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1768
#13
31.91.3
31.132.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.3
44.20.3
45.645.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
26.41.3
25.626.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.8
3525
#10
41.30.3
42.642.3
Auto
Teleop
End