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Red104
365430.6
109944.2
176831.9
Blue90
283620.7
107119.9
23058.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions947305015020025010490

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.20.7
36.837.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.9
230
#18
58.20.7
53.854.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1768
#13
31.90.7
24.425.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.2
2836
#19
20.70.7
7.78.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3654
#12
30.60.7
29.630.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.7
19.91.2
14.615.7
Auto
Teleop
End