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Red79
169935.5
346120.8
352541.3
Blue125
17561.6
346626.4
55852.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9112405015020025079125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3525
#10
41.31.3
39.438.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.4
175
#2
61.60.3
51.451.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1699
#22
35.50.9
32.431.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.4
558
#11
52.90.3
45.545.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3461
#23
20.81.3
24.523.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.7
26.40.3
21.822.1
Auto
Teleop
End