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Qual 1182014 Curie Division
Red240
469101.2
132357.7
399063.4
Blue187
41842.9
98780.6
190235.2
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2321430100200300400240187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#4
101.21.1
99.7→100.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 20.6
987
#27
80.61.5
87.5→89.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3990
#18
63.41.1
61.3→62.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 20.5
418
#61
42.91.5
37.7→39.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1323
#46
57.71.1
56.8→57.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 22.5
1902
#62
35.21.5
31.1→32.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—