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Qual 1192014 Curie Division
Red157
7456.8
316137.8
532617.7
Blue114
490120.4
159560.7
201652.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93144050200250300350157114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74
#60
56.82.8
55.9→58.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 3.9
1595
#58
60.71.1
57.2→56.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3161
#83
37.82.8
32.5→35.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 14.5
2016
#41
52.21.1
58.5→57.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
5326
#36
17.72.8
12.6→15.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 2.7
4901
#77
20.41.1
20.1→19.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—