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Red205
207329.8
338648.3
517257.4
Blue117
44762.1
415928.0
128715.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123110050150200250300205117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5172
#14
57.44.2
56.961.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.7
447
#81
62.10.2
65.765.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3386
#30
48.34.2
37.942.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.3
4159
#93
28.00.2
27.327.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2073
#75
29.84.2
26.330.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.5
1287
#100
15.40.2
19.219.4
Auto
Teleop
End