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Red146
201370.9
84281.8
379438.7
Blue168
292862.0
347848.5
13564.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions197168050100250300350400146168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
842
#20
81.82.3
81.379.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.5
135
#8
64.30.2
61.261.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2013
#29
70.92.3
74.171.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.9
62.00.2
63.363.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3794
#78
38.72.3
36.934.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.8
48.50.2
47.747.5
Auto
Teleop
End