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Red116
433472.3
17759.6
162961.1
Blue132
517257.4
171897.3
529715.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2171700100300400500116132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4334
#44
72.34.7
81.576.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 25.0
97.32.3
99.597.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1629
#45
61.14.7
65.861.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
5172
#14
57.42.3
59.657.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
177
#68
59.64.7
62.758.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 43.7
5297
#87
15.92.3
18.215.9
Auto
Teleop
End