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Red78
393237.4
330143.7
201652.2
Blue195
86535.3
379438.7
469101.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13618205010025030035040078195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2016
#41
52.23.3
55.552.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 49.0
469
#4
101.21.0
103.1104.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3301
#31
43.73.3
46.943.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.0
3794
#78
38.71.0
37.738.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3932
#51
37.43.3
40.737.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
865
#64
35.31.0
34.335.3
Auto
Teleop
End